Incidents of Malaria in India using ARIMA Models

Authors

  • K.Sukanya Department of Statistics, Academic Consultant, Sri Padmavati Mahila Visvavidyalayam, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh,India. Author
  • Dr.T.Suneetha Department of Statistics, Assistant Professor, Sri Padmavati Mahila Visvavidyalayam, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh,India. Author
  • T.Sukeerthi Department of Statistics, Academic Consultant, Sri Padmavati Mahila Visvavidyalayam, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh,India. Author
  • A.Vani Department of Statistics, Academic Consultant, Sri Padmavati Mahila Visvavidyalayam, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh,India. Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47392/irjash.2020.172

Keywords:

Time Series, ARIMA models, Malaria

Abstract

In India, the best embody of malaria occurred within the year 1950’s with associate calculable 75 million
cases and 0.8 million deaths per Annum (World Health Organization, country office for India). The model
was used for the forecasting of the year wise incidence of Malaria whereas Auto regressive integrated
moving average (ARIMA) models was used for forecasting for the years 2020 and 2022 in Republic of
India (Bharat) our study provides that of the ARIMA model was designated as best suited model to predict
the longer term incidents of malaria cases within the fourth approaching period in India.
  

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Published

2020-09-01

Issue

Vol. 2 No. 9 (2020): IRJASH Vol.02 (Special Issue ICIES 9S) Issue 9-[SEP 2020]

Section

Research Articles

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.